It seems like we're heading towards all of this becoming "better for end users", it's just going to take multiple years to reach a point where the fediverse is there for a random non-technical person. Assuming it does get there, there's a lot that can go wrong of course. It does feel plausible to me, if the userbase stays large enough to keep regularly generating fresh content and devs keep improving things. Certainly the incompetent leadership at companies like Reddit and Twitter will continue to do ridiculous things that drive users away in the years to come.