The US and UK are also opening more trans healthcare clinics, and I don't think any reasonable person would argue that these countries don't have trans panics, or the the governments aren't capitulating. So, the existence of trans healthcare clinics doesn't really go against what I'm saying. The same goes for whether a single TV host is trans.

But as for whether the government is doing anything against us... they literally are. Just last year, the government cracked down on the sale of HRT drugs. This matters especially in China because of the severe legal barriers on every stage of medical transition. When it comes to being prescribed HRT drugs, you are required to undergo psychological intervention, have no criminal record, and have parental consent (even if they're an adult).

This is exactly what I'm referring to when I say the government is capitulating to a trans panic, a phenomenon that you can't so easily separate from social climate and cultural attitudes.

I recommend you see what Chinese trans activists are saying on this, because they say that the government is increasingly cracking down on their activities, they're getting erased from both official and unofficial media, social media is increasingly taking down trans accounts, and the idea of trans people being a "social contagion" is becoming increasingly popular among nationalists. In general, I would trust queer activists over any other group on this one.