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this post was submitted on 07 Aug 2026
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Absolute clusterfuck. Everyone has a theory until shit actually goes down and you see how it plays out. Iran has functional control of Hormuz, and any attempt to take that away would be too costly to bear.
Depleted and bombed out as Iran is, they still hold all the cards. And now they have a leader far less inclined to negotiate. Maybe a European power with sway should align with a moderate Middle Eastern power with sway and try to hammer out an agreement.
As a European, I would not support an agreement that helps the US.
I was referring to an agreement that would reopen Hormuz to avert global catastrophe. If oil goes to 200+ a barrel, everyone’s economy burns.
Ah, I see, I thought you meant that Europe could put pressure to help the US. A global recession is of course bad, but I will say that I'm personally willing to endure some economic hardship if it means that we move faster to renewable energy sources and that the US is not appeased in any way.
Economic hardship has been the only effective emission reducer so far. It's sad to see we did not upgrade the energy production when we had to, so now only a ruined economy gives us a lifeline.