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this post was submitted on 15 Jul 2026
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Mildly Interesting
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This is for strictly mildly interesting material. If it's too interesting, it doesn't belong. If it's not interesting, it doesn't belong.
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We had a big leap from Bush to Obama in '08/'09. But Obama burned off his confidence over two terms, particularly with regard to Climate Change. Clinton enjoyed a similar honeymoon his first year in office, before souring on the world stage with repeated military interventions and trade fights.
Trump, curiously, gained back a bunch of his approval between terms, especially in big O&G linked nations (Australia, Saudi Arabia, Canada), before fucking it all up with the tariff bid. And he gets sudden upswells of support among ex-pat communities - Cubans, Venezuelans, Iranians, Chinese dissidents - depending on whether he's promising to do regime change against an American enemy leader.
One of the technical upsides of Trump's brand of transactional politics is that international leaders (and their ultra-wealthy handlers) can often buy favorable treatment from Trump directly, even when the domestic residents don't really care for him. So while we'll see "The world hates Trump!" we'll still end up with a cartel of international business leaders lobbying for him and doing pay-to-play politics in order to win concessions.