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this post was submitted on 16 Apr 2026
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I think this is just the wrong intuition. Not a faulty one, but one which is mostly the same as the doctrine which is being exposed as entirely ineffective.
US military doctrine is the "towards complexity" doctrine such that your opponent also needs to follow you into complexity. This worked for the US in the post WWII era because it was coupled with an exponentially increasing economic output.
Whats being show, as doctrine, is "away from complexity" and "towards distributed" approach to warfighting ends up being far more effective.
So coming from, practically, 100 years of "more advanced more complicated technology and approaches are better" being doctrine, its understandable to want to add complexity to systems.
I can’t help but think this shift in doctrine could lead to the fall of an empire, with a new ideology in power rising from its ashes. We saw a very similar pattern during WWI, where changing doctrines led to an imperial collapse and paved the way for a new ideology taking power.
We might be on the verge of seeing history repeat itself.