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Fuck Ukrainian Azov Nazis and fuck anyone who defends them
(www.thenation.com)
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this post was submitted on 15 Aug 2023
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They're only going to start becoming less ruined once they accept that they have to negotiate.
Yes, of course, a negotiated solution will be necessary. We're in a frozen conflict because the 'meta' of modern warfare is extremely defence heavy, it seems. Once a modern, rich army is entrenched, war-of-manoeuvre is ineffective. You have to grind them down to a pulp before you yourself are turned to dust. Neither side has the capabilities to make serious gains anymore, at least for now, and neither are visibly close to any real exhaustion.
The problem is the Ukrainian state, even if its officials wanted to negotiate, has this and that structural liability preventing it from viably doing so. A large base of the population who still take a maximalist position, a strong element of the far-right in the military that could take over and kill Zelensky for being a Russian-speaking Jew traitor if he negotiates seriously, an economy and military becoming increasingly integrated into western capital circuits whose state leadership is pushing you to fight on (and you want to), and the fact that Russia itself is not offering any meaningful concessions whatsoever anymore.
Peace is a long way off. It's not easy to change any of these factors, and it'll be a while before the mutually hurting stalemate starts to change peoples' minds because the cost of non-victory is so high for both the Russian and Ukrainian leadership, and for large chunks of the Ukrainian population for whom their very national identity and being is torn asunder, given the massive importance of territory to all national mythologies.
It is sad but I do not see any real chance of peace even if Zelensky woke up tomorrow and wanted it more than anything in the world.