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this post was submitted on 11 Apr 2026
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A Boring Dystopia
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sure would be nice if there were a way to track that accounts' bets and make the same ones.
There's no concrete evidence that those 16 trades were made by the same person; they're just inferring it. There is no account to track, from what I can tell- just anonymous unlinked trades
I think they're also happening on various platforms/markets/exchanges. The oil one referenced here was on a commodity futures exchange.
~~Also OP's title is misleading. The Trump family doesn't own a prediction market, but they do influence Polymarket and Kalshi, and there is a planned "Truth Predict" that's going to be like Polymarket but baked into Truth Social, but that doesn't exist yet~~
My bad, I misremembered the connections between the Trump crime family and the prediction markets.
https://www.livemint.com/companies/news/us-iran-war-prediction-markets-benefit-who-owns-donald-trump-jr-leading-prediction-firms-polymarket-kalshi-nyt-report-11772336769064.html
I'll change my title ๐