Is it as concentrated as it appears? It's basic art of war stuff, appear weak where you are strong and strong where you're weak

The island is basically a bomb. It's an enormous oil depot, with millions of barrels, not processing. It would hurt Iranian exports for sure, but if they're not idiots they'd have contingencies so they could spend the island strategically

Russia failed because they mistook a hard target for a soft one and let their military be rotted by corruption... Their plan looked fine on paper