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Is AI Facing a Trough of Disillusionment?
(spectrum.ieee.org)
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this post was submitted on 05 Sep 2025
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I think it's a mixture of that and the fact that when OpenAI saw that throwing more data drastically improved the models, they thought they would continue to see jumps like that.
However, we now know that bad benchmarks were misleading how steep the improvements were, and much like with autonomous vehicles, solving 90% of the problem is still a farcry away from 100%.