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Official: Tsunoda to replace Lawson at Red Bull from Japanese GP
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He was pulled up at 18 because Red Bull desperately wanted to replace Checo. Just because an 18 year old is doing well doesn't mean they're ready for F1, it means they're promising, and you need to let them cook a bit. He's young and he's got plenty of chances ahead of him.
Many drivers are signed for 2026/27 now, teams are locking down through the regulation changes, external circumstances are removing options. I hope he works out at vcarb because I liked the driving I saw when he subbed - but nothing is guaranteed.