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As trade war escalates, economists bet on China resilience
(www.reuters.com)
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this post was submitted on 27 Feb 2025
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Even if the US doubles down on millitary action, and commits, that isn't a way out. The US has no other manufacturing overseas or domestically that can keep up with its consumption, it needs to re-industrialize regardless.
The US economy is too based on rent seeking for that to happen without a system disintegrating crash.
That is, maybe some polity occupying the territories formerly known as the United States could do it.
Which might be something motivating this "network state" bullshit.
Hence why I said it would need essentially a mega-FDR admin or Socialism to achieve, and the mega-FDR admin would merely be a delay of crashing.
the posthumously beloved mexican dictator, porfirio diaz, proved that the military alone wasn't sufficient when he instituted his successful "bread or stick" policy; i forsee the american military being that stick and the financial inducement as the bread, luring other countries away from continuing to trade with china on mutually favorable terms.
you're 100% right in the end since there's a time limit; but unlike diaz, the american pockets are practically infinitely deep and our military is absurdly large and well placed in our equally absurdly large number of bases all around the world; along with a large enough desperate population that will serve as cannon fodder for that military.
I'm more of the mindset that the US, at this point, is a Paper Tiger. It has strength to project, but not an industrial base to maintain it.