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this post was submitted on 18 Dec 2024
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They could negotiate Russia's end to the war using their own resources (ie. Mostly the embargos) but anything Ukraine forfeits would have to be negotiated by them. The US can't just cede another nation's land.
We effectively can if we threaten to pull all support and harass Ukraine instead…
Not that I want that, or have any say in that as a US citizen…
There's no threat needed. Zalenskyy already knows he's losing US support after January.
Unfortunately the US definitely can since it gave a lot of military aid to Ukraine. It can force Ukraine to cede land
The effect would be exactly that. Actually the US ending support for Ukraine would result in not just ceding current borders, but huge additional losses.
This is literally Zalenskyy saying we can't negotiate for him while knowing that he's losing US support in January.
He's doing whatever he can, but ultimately him saying this doesn't make it so-- no matter how much he (or you) wish it would. Ukraine has been losing ground even with US support and they will only lose more without it. To pretend otherwise is to live in a fantasy. In such a situation the US has at least as much control over how much Ukrainian territory ends up under Russian occupation, as does Ukraine.
You're confusing losing land because you can't hold it militarily with negotiating an end to the invasion by ceding land. He's said that no one will negotiate for Ukraine but Ukraine and since the incoming US administration has already said they'll be ending support we really don't have any leverage to encourage them to accept any terms. We can't threaten to remove support that we've already said we're removing.
I'm saying that there isn't much of a difference. I agree that Ukraine is fucked and that the time for negotiations is long gone. Why would Russia negotiate now when they expect a clear advantage on the horizon?
I think Zelensky is saying this to look tough and keep the support from Europe coming in at least.