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this post was submitted on 22 Oct 2024
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My money is on MS kicking the can down the road and adding another year or two to the support last minute, then not fixing any of the issues with 11.
The paid extended security update program is going to run until 2028, and Windows 10 IoT Enterprise 2021 LTSC is going to have extended support all the way until 2032.
They have stated that ESU is going to be available to consumers as well, though not for how much - but somewhere between the $61 of the commercial, and $1 (really) of the education license, with the price doubling every year.
1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128 Or won't take long before it gets too expensive at that rate
1, 2, 4. Then it's 2028 and ESU ends. No idea how the pricing for the IoT long term support thing is done though.