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this post was submitted on 17 Sep 2024
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The goal of the Ukraine conflict is to create a Pyrrhic victory for Russia so costly that it collapses from within. Long range missiles capable of destroying key domestic infrastructure and material reserves will (hypothetically) hasten that economic collapse.
If you can start hitting major financial centers, administrative offices, and social meeting spaces, you might even be able to decapitate some of the senior leadership and kick off a succession crisis in Putin's government. Alternatively, you push these leaders so far down into hiding that they can no longer effectively govern the country and foreign-sponsored insurgents can take over.
That's the theory of the war, at least. In practice, NATO leadership is still unsettled by the prospect of a Total War with a nuclear armed state. So they're not quite ready to drop a long range cruise missile on the Frunzenskaya Embankment, for fear of what a retaliatory strike would look like.
No.
It's just because Russian logistics is shit, they know where the depots are because they're unbelievably huge, and being able to strike them basically brings us back to something like September of 2022 when they were blowing up depots left and right, crippling the advance completely.
It's hard to fight an opponent who can stage perfectly behind their own lines and you can only hit them after they cross, when they can hit you whenever.
Ukraine is not attacking civilian infrastructure, what you're describing are war crimes. This is not what the debate over long range missiles is about.
Here is a recent video from William Spaniel about the debate: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tM0ZTEz7Bzc
That's an absolute fantasy, by all accounts the Russian economy is booming.
Just like any countries that put their economies on war footing, it is creating a bubble that would eventually burst. The Russian economy is booming because of increased government spending. But how long will it last especially with Russia being heavily sanctioned than before, and will continue to do so even if Russia wins? Even as we speak, 98% of Chinese banks refuse to lend to Russia since Chinese banks are more afraid from secondary sanctions by the more lucrative market of the United States.
Isn't their current level of inflation now what it was at when they decided it was time to enact emergency measures? measures that are still in place yet haven't prevented inflation from continuing to rise.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4nn7pej9jyo
19% interest rates is a crisis.