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How much will having only 2/3 of their bomber fleet constrain Russia’s ability to wage war?
Practically not that much, but the point is to inflict huge monetary costs and erode public support among Russians to continue the conflict. So from that perspective this is a pretty good bargaining chip going into further negotiations.
And to make Russian forces worry that any cargo container within a couple miles of a sensitive area could pull over and have a bunch of drones pop out of it.
I think Ukraine can only pull off a big attack like this a few times. Not because they’re incapable, or Russia, now aware of the method, can defend against it, but because each attack generates data. The more data you have, the greater the ability to analyze and spot patterns, which puts Ukrainian operators at risk.
Although it would be excellent if another attack happened very soon against another relatively irreplaceable Russian asset. But a campaign of smaller scale harassment throughout the country would suffice to harm morale and keep supply constraints, well, constrained.
Presumably the other 2/3'rds are operational. Presumably.
We'll have to see how much of their previous pace they can keep up. In any case, every military that can, keeps some things in reserve. What's the likelihood that the ones in storage are still there and not gutted for parts that got sold for vodka?
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It's really good news that a military state lost their war assets used to wage war (they should have never been built to begin with) but i'm gonna use this thread to highlight something else:
If 34% of russian strategic missile bombers got destroyed in a ukrainian drone operation, EU governments are simply lying when they say russia is going to invade europe and that we must stack more billions on the ones we already spend in war.
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this post was submitted on 01 Jun 2025
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