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Harris' candidacy has led to surge in Black voter enthusiasm. It could make a difference in swing states - ABC News (abcnews.go.com)

submitted 3 months ago by dogsnest@lemmy.world to c/politics@lemmy.world

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"Enthusiasm" has always been a "flex" for GOP these recent elections.

Is that similar to a noise meter at events?

The enthusiasm equals 2 football fields plus 6 cubits.

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[-] Mouselemming@sh.itjust.works 76 points 3 months ago

Harris's candidacy has led to a surge in my enthusiasm, and I'm an old white lady.

[-] abfarid@startrek.website 20 points 3 months ago

Then what are you doing on Lemmy?!
/s

[-] Mouselemming@sh.itjust.works 38 points 3 months ago

Well I could hardly stay on Reddit. Sheesh.

[-] GladiusB@lemmy.world 7 points 3 months ago

Reddit is the meth park of the Internet

[-] Cosmos7349@lemmy.world 12 points 3 months ago

Judging other people’s Linux distros, probably. Isn’t that why everyone’s on Lemmy?

[-] abfarid@startrek.website 10 points 3 months ago

Honestly? I ended up here because the 1st-party Reddit app is cancer.

[-] MedicPigBabySaver@lemmy.world 4 points 3 months ago

Tagged as Granny 😉

[+] vzq 69 points 3 months ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

[deleted]

[-] Quetzalcutlass@lemmy.world 33 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

A reminder that in Florida in 2000, Republicans were experimenting with these disenfranchisement tactics (roll purges, closing polling stations, convenient road blockages in cities, the works). They won that state* by a few hundred votes in key districts, and these dirty tactics became a mainstay for the party. And that was before the SCOTUS basically said "racism is over, these voter protection laws are unnecessary now". Every vote counts, especially where they've made it difficult to do so.

* Gore probably would have won Florida, and thus the presidency, if the SCOTUS didn't halt the recount - in large part due to Roger Stone, one of the biggest pushers of dirty tactics. There are a small number of people who have caused a great deal of harm in this country.

[-] DancingBear@midwest.social 7 points 3 months ago

*gutting

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[-] dogsnest@lemmy.world 5 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

What instrument is used to measure this?

Is it tied to the atomic clock?
Or whether the moon is in Virgo, with a salivating Aquarius?

eta: lol, dogpile!

Data?
Anyone?

[-] polonius-rex@kbin.run 35 points 3 months ago

if you're asking what mechanism could be used to quantify "voter enthusiasm", a poll of "do you intend to vote in this election" seems like a pretty easy and obvious answer

[-] dogsnest@lemmy.world 4 points 3 months ago

Except maga has touted "enthusiasm" for 8 years.

What are they measuring?
Where's the data?

[-] ABCDE@lemmy.world 27 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

New voter registrations after a particular event.

You could also read the article you posted?

Formed in 2020, Win With Black Women has met by Zoom most Sundays for almost four years, drawing hundreds of attendees and support from names like Oprah Winfrey and Dionne Warwick. But Eaddy said they had never had a call anything like this past Sunday's, which drew tens of thousands of viewers, raised more than $2 million for the just-launched Harris campaign, and inspired a similar call led by Black men the next night that raised $1.3 million more for Harris' campaign.

"As someone who's done a lot of fundraising, I've never raised $1.3 million over three or four hours from grassroots donors, I've never seen that kind of momentum," James said. "The energy is inspiring. Each one of those people on the call can organize 10 people or 100 people, and we hope to mobilize all of them."

Although there are few polls out that have data to fully capture this moment, Harris is already seeing significantly higher numbers in favorability with Black voters. Black voters in April or June who split 70% for Biden to 23% for Trump in previous polling, now break 78% for Harris to 15% for Trump, according to a CNN/SSRS released on Wednesday.

[-] dogsnest@lemmy.world 3 points 3 months ago

Does maga use the same enthusiasm data?

What was the enthusiasm measurement in 2020 vs. today?

What's the metric?

[-] ABCDE@lemmy.world 14 points 3 months ago

Fuck knows, go find out yourself.

[-] dogsnest@lemmy.world 4 points 3 months ago

Sorry I hurt you so badly.

[-] Nachorella@lemmy.sdf.org 5 points 3 months ago

Why are you like this? Try and put your thoughts into a coherent point instead of just asking a bunch of inane questions.

Is your point that you think 'enthusiasm' is a made up metric? Ok, cool, great job, you cracked politics.

[-] dogsnest@lemmy.world 4 points 3 months ago

Why are you like this?

Why are you concerned about me?
What's wrong with you?

[-] Nachorella@lemmy.sdf.org 4 points 3 months ago

I'm allowed to be concerned about you. We're all internet strangers, and your way of talking to people is obviously rubbing people the wrong way.

[-] dogsnest@lemmy.world 4 points 3 months ago

It's also obviously not rubbing people the wrong way.

You're also rubbing people the wrong way.
Why can't you look after yourself, first?

[-] Nachorella@lemmy.sdf.org 3 points 3 months ago

[-] polonius-rex@kbin.run 8 points 3 months ago

i'm not sure national elections of a world superpower are followed on precisely the same level as attack on titan readership

[-] dogsnest@lemmy.world 3 points 3 months ago

No data.
No metric.

But it's up!!!
Feelings!!

[-] polonius-rex@kbin.run 3 points 3 months ago

it's genuinely fascinating to me that you think manga readership is equivalent to voting

like, it's so strangely specific

is manga and the us election the only thing going on in your life?

[-] dogsnest@lemmy.world 3 points 3 months ago

manga?

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[-] Thrashy@lemmy.world 6 points 3 months ago

In Trump's case it is usually to do with his own inflated claims of rally attendance rather than any firm polling data. Donny really knows how to inflame his base, but his party's consistent underperformance in by-year elections suggests that doesn't translate into general election success.

[-] dogsnest@lemmy.world 2 points 3 months ago

Where's the data?

Otherwise, hyperbole and rhetoric.

[-] Asifall@lemmy.world 11 points 3 months ago

Do you know what enthusiasm means? The article you linked has a number of examples of what data might lead someone to believe in the increased enthusiasm. Did you read it?

[-] dogsnest@lemmy.world 4 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

Yet, zero data. Just condescension.

You simply can't do better.

You're my new idol.

[-] ikidd@lemmy.world 7 points 3 months ago

Good lord, you posted the freaking article and now you get shirty when people tell you to read it to answer your own damn question? That's just weird.

[-] dogsnest@lemmy.world 4 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

I asked, specifically in the post, what the metric is.

What was the enthusiasm index at this point in 2020?

What are the metrics used?

It's fluff. Sorry I caused your outrage.
That's weird.

[-] cyborganism@lemmy.ca 7 points 3 months ago

Bruh. You posted this. Go figure it out.

[-] dogsnest@lemmy.world 3 points 3 months ago

Is that how it works, sista?

[-] cyborganism@lemmy.ca 5 points 3 months ago

Yes.

[-] gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works 51 points 3 months ago

lol can you imagine if her nomination leads to winning a bunch of states in the south that are considered “safe red” these days? That’d be wild. I know there are obstacles to that happening but still.

[-] octopus_ink@lemmy.ml 38 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

Can you imagine Kamala Harris taking Florida, Texas, or (gasp) Alabama? George Fucking Wallace would rise from the grave just so he could try to obstruct progress a little bit more.

Stop with these fantasies, I can only get so erect.

[-] cmbabul@lemmy.world 4 points 3 months ago

Looks like Georgia is back on the menu boys! ATL about to ride

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[-] Olgratin_Magmatoe@lemmy.world 38 points 3 months ago

Fuck the polls, go vote

[-] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 18 points 3 months ago

I've been saying this since Friday.

I have reason to think Florida is in play.

[-] Rentlar@lemmy.ca 13 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

I think all Hispanic Americans have to bring a translated "Projeto 2025" in front of the people in Florida. Some xenophobic Cubans in Miami want to pull up the ladder behind them. In the report, there is a focus on de-naturalization if they detect fraud (p. 144). Chances are they will twist it to prosecute people with certain skin colours in particular and MAGA doesn't care if you had left your country of birth 40 years ago or yesterday. It also mentions de-prioritize processing speed of even legitimate cases held by their friends and family (p.144).

[-] Zipitydew@sh.itjust.works 7 points 3 months ago

Wild levels of hopium.

North Carolina maybe. Georgia and Pennsylvania again are going to be tough but reasonable to hope for.

But Florida? Ronda won with 60% of the vote 2 years ago. Winning counties that had been traditionally blue.

Florida continues to skew older and is accelerating in average age. Mass migration of retired Boomers continues to push the state harder conservative. They're on pace for 1/3rd of the adults to be older than 65 in a couple years. It was 1/4 not that long ago.

Number of registered Republicans has recovered since the pandemic. Is now nearly 1M above Democrats.

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[-] Blackmist@feddit.uk 12 points 3 months ago

I wonder what happened to "Blacks for Trump"

[-] dogsnest@lemmy.world 17 points 3 months ago

He was appointed to SCOTUS.

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this post was submitted on 26 Jul 2024

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