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this post was submitted on 05 Jan 2024
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politics
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He's got literally nothing else to motivate voters...
I'm relatively confident he can pull off a narrow win against trump. But if trumps off the ballots, and it's a "normal" Republican or even desantis, we might be fucked.
Biden wants trump to run for the same reason Hillary did, I just hope he's not dumb enough to actually help trump make it to the general like Hillary did
Make it to the general? Trump wins the primary hands down. He's like 70% in the polls.
How many people do you know answer polls?
About as many as actually bother to show up for the primaries.
Shots fired
Within the margin of error, you reckon?
If I go to the bar at 11 PM and ask who wants another beer I can't then go on to say 70% of the population at all times wants another beer.
Think about who answers polls?
Have you ever answered a poll? Ever been asked? I didn't think so.
Thanks for the basic lesson on sample bias. You do know that good polls address bias, right? Also, sample sizes can be quite small and still represent populations, so not having been polled doesn't mean anything.
This isn't true anymore, though it was over the summer. DeSantis is polling neck-in-neck with Nikki Haley, down in the 15-16% range. That gets even smaller outside the GOP.
Even Republicans don't like DeSantis. The more campaigning he has done nationally, the lower his numbers have gotten. He would get absolutely whooped. Trump is far more dangerous.
Republicans didn't like trump either and then gladly puckered up to kiss his taint when they realized he could get a crowd going.
You put your finger on the exact reason why DeSantis's campaign is in hospice.