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this post was submitted on 18 Aug 2023
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Also, almost all safety numbers for transportation are meaningless unless normalized to miles driven. They also commented about these issues being "everywhere" then goes on a long diatribe against self driving cars. I rarely see anything about them likely based moreso on the media I consume. They clearly have a bias and the media they consume has likely been tailored to support that. Them seeing many articles on crashes or accidents is anecdotal at best (as it is with me having not seen many articles).
I'm not sure what you mean? All the numbers I used are explicitly normalized by or discussed in the context of distance driven. My comment contains the phrase "miles driven" several times. Docotorws piece that I quote from goes into more detail, again normalized by miles driven.
https://pluralistic.net/2022/10/09/herbies-revenge/
Just saying "humans are good" is a flat statement with no impact. They would need to be better than self driving cars for that to mean anything. The reason this is always pointed out when news pops up of a self driving car having an accident like this, is because those stories don't make headlines for someone like you to use as an anecdote.
This is where you didn't normalize to miles. Amplified by the next sentence...
You don't know the numbers. You just feel strongly about it. That's not evidence.
Like I said, everything is normalized by miles or discussed inbthe context of distance driven.
We don't have concrete numbers for the real world cars, but we absolutely have enough to make educated estimates, and those line up with the existing data.
In a few months, the cars had some 55 incidents with emergency services. iirc there were only a couple hundred cars. There are millions upon millions of cars in San Francisco driving orders of magnitude more miles than that, and the emergency services personnel are actively flagging the self driving cars as a serious problem.
I'd obviously prefer to have better real world data. The data that we do have is consistent in showing self driving cars significantly underperform compared to humans per mile driven by several orders of magnitude, as Doctorow mentioned in that piece, and I quoted. That data that does exist is also consistent with the emerging picture, albeit the numbers for that aren't in yet.
Afaik, there isn't a single piece of data in existence in favor of self driving cars, but there is plenty against. If you have something to the contrary, lmk, because that would greatly change my opinion. I fucking want a self driving car. They sound rad as hell. But I don't want to organize our entire society around more big tech vaporware.
User name at least checks out!