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this post was submitted on 15 Jun 2023
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I hope that this doesn't lead to fracturing the way it apparently did on Mastodon, where every instance that federated with a set of known-bad instances was itself added to the list of "known-bad" instances that the main instances ought to de-federate from (or maybe it will have to be that way to keep out the trolls); to put it another way, I hope that whichever side ends up being the more useful one in this split (beehaw.org or lemmy.world & sh.itjust.works) is the one that midwest.social gets to keep federating with, if it comes to that, or else I'll need to bother joining beehaw or sh.itjust.works directly.
(I forget whether I had to go through an involved process to register on midwest.social, but I know it's not one of the instances with open registration.)
As they defederate from instances they deem unwanted they will lose relevance from your point of view.
The way I see it if an instance isolates itself the communities inside that were relevant to many users will be replaced with others.
They suggested on some comments that they see federation as a plus, but they want a very specific type of community.
So far it just looks like there will be a couple of instances who defed from everyone else, not a large scale split. Reddit refugees are mostly average users, not radical leftists like those who left Twitter for Mastodon.