If Russia comes out of this conflict with any gains at all that could be construed as "worth it" for their side it will be an open invitation to keep invasions on the table as a method to apply again in the near future.
Russia is literally the biggest country in the world with massive natural resources and very low population density. The idea that Russia will sacrifice its relatively small population for the sake of additional territorial gains is preposterous.
They're literally doing that right now, though
They're fighting against NATO expansion to Russia's border which they have been warning against for over a decade now. Even Stoltenberg admits this now:
Yet the main reason countries at Russia's border want to join NATO is to not get attacked by Russia.
Nah, the main reason is that their political systems have been captured by US, while propaganda groups like the NED have poured billions into trying to shape public opinion. Yet, despite all that we're now starting to see a huge backlash against all that from the public. The massive farmer protests are just the start of that.
Oh wow, it's the tankie version of US exceptionalism where the US controls everything and is all powerful.
The US had like zero influence in the baltics when they joined, same for Georgia when they wanted to join.
Not sure how farmer protests are involved but I hope you know that the vast majority of farmers in those protests are just people who own the farm. They don't actually work those farms and the protests so far have been against climate regulations that cut into their profit margin.
Image believing that US had zero influence in the Baltics despite all the evidence to the contrary.
I thought Putin said it was because "Ukraine is a neo-nazi regime"?
No, wait, he said it was because the west were using Ukraine to base their weapons
Oh, nevermind, I forgot that there is no such thing as Ukraine, it's all part of Russia
Oh, or is it because the west are gay paedophilic gender-neutral-god-worshipping heathens
Or was it because Ukraine was planning to pretend Russia nuked them first so that they could actually declare war on Russia
Ah, was it to defend Donetsk and Luhansk's independence? Or are they part of Russia?
Or is it that Ukraine has a government with no control, where the streets of Kiev are a lawless purge?
I seem to have lost track of why he's invading. Could you clarify for me?
Ukraine being a neo-nazi regime doing ethnic cleansing in Donbas and planning to host NATO weapons that can strike within Russia are precisely in line with the problem of NATO expansion. Incredible that you're unable to understand how a single overarching problem can have multiple aspects to it. Hope that clarified things for you.
And how do the gay paedophile heretics fit into your overarching problem?
Wait till you find out what the banderite stance on gay pedophile heretics is.
So if the author's opinion is correct, then that would not be a good outcome. Do you think they're wrong?
The Republican cowards denying aid needed by Ukraine are entirely to blame.
Sure, blame the Republicans and not the Democrats wasting all their munitions on a middle east genocide.
If you bothered reading the article before making your vapid comments, then you'd see that the aid that republicans are holding up isn't going to change anything:
The Biden Administration is entirely correct to warn that without further massive U.S. military aid, Ukrainian resistance is likely to collapse this year. But U.S. officials also need to recognize that even if this aid continues, there is no realistic chance of total Ukrainian victory next year, or the year after that. Even if the Ukrainians can build up their forces, Russia can deepen its defenses even more.
You're a Russian apologist, none of your B.S. is worth reading.
It seems your reading comprehension is pretty poor: the article doesn't say that Ukraine can't win ever, regardless.
It says that they can't win a total victory this year or next year, even with further aid.
My reading comprehension is just fine. Anybody with a functioning brain can understand that Ukraine's prospects of winning will only be worse from here on out. Western support is already cracking, and that's the only thing that's been keeping Ukraine afloat this whole time. Meanwhile, the west is already openly admitting that it lacks capacity to continue supplying Ukraine at even current levels while Russian military industry is rapidly expanding. It's incredible that people still can't understand the basic facts of the situation.
It is not that surprising, Arabic media has been reporting it for a while. It is just that corporate media in the West is finally catching up to reality.
We're basically seeing a narrative collapse happening in real time.
Arabic, Latin American, Southeast Asian, Chinese (obviously), Indian (obviously)...
Wait, isn't this the same map of countries which recognize Palestine?
If only someone had warned them
Maybe I'm wrong here, but I think most people never thought Ukraine would win the war outright. Personally, I've never heard anyone say that they thought Ukraine would push Russia out entirely and the war would end. Even if Ukraine did secure all of its land, Russia would almost certainly continue fighting along the border to prevent it from joining any alliance like NATO. It seemed the best anyone hoped for is that there would be enough pressure applied to Russia that something changed within where they gave up on the war.
People, and importantly western leadership, absolutely thought they could force a regime change in Russia when the war started. For example, recall all the whole rouble will be rubble talk. The plan was for the west to isolate Russia economically using sanctions and intimidate other countries to stop trading with Russia. Russian economy was supposed to collapse as a result, and people were gonna overthrow the government.
This is why Europe went all in on the whole thing, they thought they’re gonna ride it out for a few months and then the west would get to put in a compliant regime in Russia like they did in Ukraine. After that, everything would get back to business as usual, and the regime would start selling off Russia to western companies the way Ukraine is currently being sold off.
Of course that’s not how it went, and now we're seeing a narrative shift because it's becoming clear that the west failed to break Russia economically. Not only that, but Russia is emerging more assertive and has the backing of the Global South. This is the worst possible outcome for the west, and Europe in particular.
Maybe I'm not doing the best at explaining myself, but my intent was for my comment to say much the same as yours (which I totally agree with). I was just trying to say that I didn't hear many people who thought Ukraine could actually win a war against Russia through fighting. There was definitely hope that Russia would have a regime change due to the pressure and that would put an end to the war, but that outcome seems more like Russia just ending fighting rather than Ukraine winning. I suppose my comment was moreso just arguing semantics on the word "win" in terms of this conflict, which is ultimately a bit pointless.
I agree with everything, except the fact that the outcome is bad for Europe. Would be much worse had western governments reached their goals.
The problem for Europe now is that it's been effectively cut off from Russian resources. Now that Russia has managed to reorient their trade towards the east, I doubt they'll want to deal with Europe going forward. Why bother trying to do trade with people who hate you and are constantly trying to undermine you when you can work with friendly partners instead. Any trade with Europe will be seen as being a very risky proposition by Russia unless there's a dramatic political shift in Europe going forward.
European leaders should've realized that it was in their interest to do everything possible to prevent the war from starting in the first place. Yet, they chose to follow Pied Piper right off the cliff instead.
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