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this post was submitted on 14 Jan 2024
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Web 2.0 desperately clinging to life. FOSS self hosted web is the future. Internet speeds are fast enough on home networks that self hosting is perfectly viable for essentially everything, and for the few things that can't be self hosted by just anyone, FOSS alternatives and work arounds to existing paid services exist.
Internet is becoming harder to monopolize, and increasing amounts of power and control are being handed back to the working class online. FOSS has become a movement that has grown exponentially over the last few years.
Their next recourse will be attempting to make jail time a thing for piracy. Both for hosting it and downloading it.
There's certainly a bubble bursting. You only have to look at all the layoffs.fyi since COVID. I'm just hoping it's happening in a slow enough way that it's not going to take more legitimate companies with it.
AI is the next bubble. It will hit a brick wall either legally or just on functionality (maybe both). I can see uses for targeted models, bespoke to a use case, but training those is too expensive right now. General models are just toys IMHO. Unfortunately it's going to get a few years for everyone to realise.
The brick wall on AI is not functionality. It's cost of running the neural networks. It's simply not financially realistic to integrate ChatGPT into everything.
You are going to train the AI that replaces you. They aren't going to tell you that though. I'm starting comprehensive plans so that any future work I do can't be fed into AI. Making hardware that just dumps random input when I'm not using it. Isolating and containing any human input that does happen. Distributing my work across as many devices as possible to only give each it's single app use worth of data.