That's the problem there's no common consensus from scientists. What is happening right now is similar to the scenario from The Day After Tomorrow, scientists debate and offer their theories.

from phys.org today

Not the day after tomorrow: Why we can't predict the timing of climate tipping points

A study published in Science Advances reveals that uncertainties are currently too large to accurately predict exact tipping times for critical Earth system components like the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), polar ice sheets, or tropical rainforests.

These tipping events, which might unfold in response to human-caused global warming, are characterized by rapid, irreversible climate changes with potentially catastrophic consequences. However, as the study shows, predicting when these events will occur is more difficult than previously thought.

Climate scientists from the Technical University of Munich (TUM) and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) have identified three primary sources of uncertainty.

https://phys.org/news/2024-08-day-tomorrow-climate.html

Also as Rahmstof said.

“There’s now five papers, basically, that suggested it could well happen in this century, or even before the middle of the century,” Rahmstof said. “My overall assessment is now that the risk of us passing the tipping point in this century is probably even greater than 50%.”

While the advances in AMOC research have been swift and the models that try to predict its collapse have advanced at lightning speed, they are still not without issues.

This research gap means the predictions could underestimate how soon or fast a collapse would happen.