At this point you can't convince me they aren't just setting up another bubble intentionally. These businesses are most likely massively (over?) leveraged and desperately looking for some more almost zero interest loans and if they don't get it they'll just claim AI cost them billions and now they need a bailout.
I mean, a lot of people have lost their jobs at these companies due to gen AI, but it’s not because it’s replaced them. It’s because these companies are burning cash like crazy on gen AI even as it looses them billions upon billions every quarter. They’re letting people go to cover some of that cost and then spinning a positive narrative to shareholders about increased efficiency and productivity.
There is also a lot of still born projects and initiatives that are getting dropped because the executives now have an excuse to wash their hands of them without admitting to shareholders they made a bad call. Like Microsoft and their failed attempt to roll up the games industry.
Yeah, lots of over hiring happened and this is the perfect cover for responding to that without admitting you screwed up.
And that over hiring means there are now a glut of experienced people desperate for jobs competing with inexperienced new grads.
I don’t chalk this up fully to AI.
The other aspect is hiring is a crapshoot right now, for the last 4 or so years almost all hiring I’ve seen has been from referrals, not resumes submitted.
I’ve been interviewing for a decade, the quality of candidates from even large corps like Google and Apple has turned to shit in the last 3/4 years. I’m talking candidates who can’t demonstrate basic coding skill in interviews but somehow worked at these companies for years and have advanced degrees.
I attribute that to mass over hiring too, where you would look at a resume and say “we can grow that person” but then clearly nobody bothered to teach them after they started.
There's been a good amount of opportunity to grift an employer and in turn for functional teams to sideline those employees, since no one wants to be mean even to those employees, just put them aside, so long as the gravy train is here, why bother trying to ding someone for just being a bullshitter even if they never do work?
To be fair, an LLM can generate a bunch of bug-ridden code lacking any context that I'll have to fix in review as well as any junior dev.
...of course unlike a junior dev, LLMs don't learn from their mistakes. What they're doing here is raising my salary and removing future seniors from the hiring pool.
Now why would they said that ... do they invest in this shit, I wonder ...
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