I predict incremental quality increases. Qwen4 will probably be a somewhat better Qwen3 (and a dud if we're unlucky). I do agree that it'll probably come out; there's not enough life left in this AI boom for a Qwen5, though.

The biggest change will probably come from figuring out where LLM use will actually benefit us. Right now the industry zeros to answer that with "everywhere" and concludes that it's prudent to spend money equivalent to the GDP of an industrial nation on compute-only data centers.

For example, I expect the use case for coding to be more like "autocomplete a code block based on known patterns" rather than "build a public-facing web application from a prompt".